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Blackhat Empire · Graduated

Axe’s Alpha

What moved on Robinhood Chain in the Graduated lane, what the record says about it, and how to check a contract in ten minutes.

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Axe’s Alpha desk artwork

Latest Robinhood Chain prints

Loading live Graduated alerts…

Screen: market cap at least $50.0K, top-10 wallets holding at most 40 %. Charts open on GMGN.

Recorded alerts

Axe’s Alpha's lane log for 2026-09-23. Each line is one alert as the feed recorded it; what happened next is on the chart.

  • At 10:54 UTC the feed caught ANONPAD: cap $56.9K, liquidity $23.1K, 252 holders, top 10 holding 22 %.
  • CS (08:46 UTC) — $119.7K cap against $33.9K liquidity, top 10 holding 17 %, -6.5 % over the prior hour.
  • 00:19 UTC · MSR entered the lane at $62.7K; pool depth $24.3K, 81 holders.
  • ARENA printed at 23:29 UTC with a $61.1K market cap and $24.1K in the pool, 135 holders.
  • CHAM printed at 22:58 UTC with a $85.1K market cap and $32.2K in the pool, 175 holders.
  • BOBCOIN printed at 20:13 UTC with a $80.3K market cap and $25.8K in the pool, 124 holders.
  • At 20:13 UTC the feed caught TYCOON: cap $100.2K, liquidity $30.8K, 131 holders, top 10 holding 20 %.

Recorded values, not live prices. Charts open on GMGN with the publisher's referral code.

The lane

A Graduated alert means a launch has left the launchpad and its liquidity now sits in a regular pool.

A curve that completes tells you demand existed. It does not tell you who holds the supply. Axe’s Alpha pairs every Graduated print with a look at holders and liquidity.

Axe’s Alpha watches the launch lane because most failed tokens fail there. The Graduated channel is its raw input; the checks below are the filter.

One habit: Compare market cap with liquidity. A small pool under a large cap means a thin exit. Check the top ten holders, the share held by the deployer and whether liquidity is locked or burned before anything else.

Our method

Axe’s Alpha runs these checks on each Graduated alert.

  1. Read the top ten holders and remove pools and burn addresses from the count.
  2. Copy the full contract address from the alert, never the ticker.
  3. Look for bundled launch buys: several wallets buying in the same block.
  4. Decide your exit before you enter, including the price where you are wrong.
  5. Test that you can sell a small amount before adding size.
  6. Look at what the creator address launched before and how those ended.

The scoreboard

72tokens measured
0 %5x in 24 h
15 %2x in 24 h
96 %dead in 24 h

Measured window: 7 days, 72 tokens. 2x within a day: 15 %. 5x within a day: 0 %. Dead within a day: 96 %, usually after about 0.4 h. All Robinhood Chain topics together: 36 % reached 2x. With 95 % confidence this lane did worse than the rest of Robinhood Chain on the 2x measure, which is why the checks matter more here.

Source: Blackhat alert scoreboard, 7-day window of mature alerts (older than 24 h), updated 2026-09-23. Full scoreboard.

Telegram routes

Pick one route. @empirerhgrads is the direct source for Axe’s Alpha.

@empirerhgradsLive Graduated alerts for Robinhood Chain, as they fire.
@gmgnxrobinhoodneargraduationA launch is nearing the point where it leaves the launchpad curve for a regular pool: the Near Graduation channel.
Open ROBINHOOD MainAll Robinhood Chain lanes in one verified group.
Add Launches folderImports the related Empire channels as a folder.
@gmgnx_chatTalk to other members and the team.

Network history

TokenChainFirst alert capTracked capMultipleReport
FrugSOL$29K$551K19x2026-08-26
GrokBotSOL$70K$4400K63x2026-08-24
MAGNETSOL$42K$846K20x2026-09-10
GrokstreetSOL$26K$255K10x2026-08-30

Selected dated examples from XTRACK reports: multiple = tracked market cap at the report date divided by the market cap at first alert. These are not typical results and not realised profits.

Terms used here

Freeze authority
Permission to lock holders' balances.
Slippage
Price you lose to pool depth when a trade executes.
Smart money
Wallets with a measured history of profitable trades.
Honeypot
A contract that blocks or taxes selling so buyers are stuck.

From the DYOR library

If you follow @empirerhgrads, these guides explain the checks behind it.

What passes here

The rule behind this page. Axe’s Alpha keeps an alert only if it passes all of these:

  • market cap at least $50.0K
  • top-10 wallets holding at most 40 %

At build time the lane held 48 recent alerts covering about 19 hours; 23 of them cleared the screen. Those that passed had a median market cap of $75.4K, median liquidity of $25.4K and about 144 holders. No alert in the sample had a pool smaller than 10 % of its cap. Median concentration in the lane: 23 % of supply in the top ten wallets.

Values measured on 2026-09-23 from the Empire feed. The screen is a filter, not a recommendation.

Nearby desks

FAQ

What is Axe’s Alpha?

It is one of the Empire's public desks. It watches Graduated alerts on Robinhood Chain, prints them live and explains how to check each one.

Where do the alerts come from?

From the Blackhat Empire alert network: on-chain data, launchpads, screeners and tracked wallets, filtered and posted to Telegram. The live board reads the same feed.

Does Axe’s Alpha hold or sell tokens it shows?

No. The page publishes alerts and methods; it does not run positions or sell placements.

Why do so many alerted tokens die?

Because most launches fail. The scoreboard counts it openly: 96 % of these alerts died within a day in the measured window.